Bootstrapping an Econometric Model: Some Empirical Results

نویسندگان

  • DAVID A. FREEDMAN
  • STEPHEN C. PETERS
  • David A. Freedman
  • Douglas Hale
چکیده

The bootstrap, like the jackknife, is a technique for estimating standard errors. The idea is to usc Monte Carlo simulation, based on a non-parametric estimate of the underlying error distribution. The bootstrap will be applied to an econometric model describing the demand for capital, labor, energy, and materials. The model is fitted by three-stage least squares. In sharp contrast with previous results, the coefficient estimates and the estimated standard errors perform very well. However, the model's forecasts show serious bias and large random errors.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Document De Travail N°2009-33 Bootstrapping Econometric Models Bootstrapping Econometric Models

The bootstrap is a statistical technique used more and more widely in econometrics. While it is capable of yielding very reliable inference, some precautions should be taken in order to ensure this. Two “Golden Rules” are formulated that, if observed, help to obtain the best the bootstrap can offer. Bootstrapping always involves setting up a bootstrap data-generating process (DGP). The main typ...

متن کامل

Judgmental Bootstrapping: Inferring Experts' Rules for Forecasting

Judgmental bootstrapping is a type of expert system. It translates an experts' rules into a quantitative model by regressing the experts' forecasts against the information that he used. Bootstrapping models apply an experts' rules consistently, and many studies have shown that decisions and predictions from bootstrapping models are similar to those from the experts. Three studies showed that bo...

متن کامل

چشم‌انداز آینده بخش توزیع درآمد و سیاست‌های لازم برای بهبود آن

This research aims at studying challenges, difficulties and prospects of Irans income distribution sector during 2005-2015 by means of an econometric model. The first part of the paper reviews some theories and empirical accomplishments regarding income distribution in national and international levels. The next part of the paper goes through the trends of income distribution and social welfare...

متن کامل

Effects of Fiscal and Monetary Policies on the Iranian Economy: An Optimal Control Approach

This paper evaluates the interacted effects of the fiscal and monetary policies on the nominal and real macro-variables of the Iranian economy. Our analysis is thus based on the optimal control theory by which the optimal path of the control variables including monetary and fiscal tools are determined over the period 1963-2006. We also use a macro-econometric model in form of a simultaneous equ...

متن کامل

Economic Growth in Washington: An Exami- nation of Labor Market and Fiscal Response

This study develops a regional econometric model to extend and complement standard local economic impact analysis for Washington counties. Based on a static macroeconomic model, we derive labor supply equations and fiscal equations. The resulting empirical model is based on a crosssectional econometric analysis of all Washington counties. The use of the estimated econometric model is illustrate...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2008